Match Info

A-League - Round 16

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.75
	1.72	3.7	4.45	Watch
	1.73	4.05	4.74
	1.71	4	4.69	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.4
	1.73	4.15	4.73	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	4.57 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
55.2%

Draw
24.2%

Central Coast Mariners
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.5%	1.8%	12.7%

Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Central Coast (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Central Coast (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Central Coast (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brisbane Roar will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brisbane Roar will win (37 of 37 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Central Coast (votes: 3 - 7.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 15. Bility H. 6. Ludwik A. 3. Valkanis D. 2. Salas Y. 8. Klein S. 31. Maieroni N. 23. McGarry J. 25. D'Agostino N. 10. Vrakas G. 19. Ruhs M.	30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 11. James Ngor S. 48. Donnell C. 16. Steele H. 72. Auglah A. 23. Lavale O. 10. Di Pizio M.
Substitutes
16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 27. Halloran B. 44. Lauton J. 30. MacNicol Q. 41. Shaw E. 17. Vidic J.	18. Blair N. 37. Brandtman B. 6. Eames H. 24. Herrington D. 43. Nasso J. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 17. Taniguchi K.
Coaches
Valkanis M.	Moon W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', James Ngor S. 🟨,
39', Maieroni N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, D'Agostino N. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', James Ngor S. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
68', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
70', D'Agostino N. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
70', Vrakas G. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
77', Auglah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
77', Donnell C. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Roux S. ⚽,
86', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
87', Ludwik A. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
90+3', Di Pizio M. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
90+8', Valkanis D. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.

Brisbane is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Central Coast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Brazete J. (Inactive) Long Ch. (Red Card) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Central Coast: Brandtman B. (Inactive) Paull N. (Red Card) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Brisbane Roar: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
31.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United	2:3 ✺
16.01.26	Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
01.02.26	Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
31.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2
02.05.25	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2
03.01.25	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	1:3
27.01.24	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	2:0
21.12.23	Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners	0:3
12.11.23	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	1:2
01.04.23	Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar	4:1

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