The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 11.1%
Draw 18.7%
Aston Villa 70.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
24.6%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.8%
23.5%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aston Villa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bristol City - Aston Villa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Williams N. (G) 14. Ward M. 41. Bennett H. 4. Struck C. 24. Saez C. 5. Ingle S. 23. Jones V. 18. Meena M. 16. Syme E. (C) 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R.
26. Roebuck E. (G) 15. Parker L. 4. Patten A. 16. Maritz N. 2. Mayling S. 25. Taylor M. 21. Kendall L. 38. Maltby R. 9. Daly R. 23. Grant C. (C) 18. Mullet G.
Substitutes
1. Bentley F. (G) 21. Dafeur M. 45. Hebard I. 63. Hibbert-Johnson O. 3. Lawley G. 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 13. Mutch E. (G) 6. O'Leary L. 17. Ziu J.
1. D'Angelo S. (G) 24. Deslandes O. 20. Hanson K. 7. Kearns M. 22. Sallaway L. 17. Salmon E. . Scott K. 14. Wilms L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Daly R. ⚽, Kendall L. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Mullet G. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
37', Bennett H. ↓, Lawley G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kendall L. ↓, Salmon E. ↑,
46', Grant C. ↓, Wilms L. ↑,
46', Syme E. ↓, Ziu J. ↑,
60', Daly R. ↓, Hanson K. ↑,
61', Hardy R. ↓, Lloyd-Smith L. ↑,
61', Ingle S. ↓, Dafeur M. ↑,
66', Mayling S. ↓, Kearns M. ↑,
74', Jones V. ↓, Hebard I. ↑,
74', Maltby R. ↓, Sallaway L. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Salmon E. (Pen),
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Aston Villa is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).