The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 55.7%
Draw 25.1%
Newport County 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
22.9%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
21.9%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Bristol Rovers - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
1. Young B. (G) 2. James T. 4. Balmer K. 26. Harbottle R. (C) 14. Purrington B. 6. Mola C. 22. Gough K. 7. Forde S. 24. Leigh T. 10. Kamwa B. 29. Cavegn F.
1. Wright J. (G) 22. Norman C. 4. Cameron K. (C) 5. Jenkins L. 3. Davies T. 2. Evans C. 6. Brennan C. 20. Bamba Y. 10. Biggins H. 9. Gwengwe S. 27. Doidge C.
Substitutes
11. Aitchison J. 32. Binns C. (G) 19. Harrison E. 17. Kelly C. 9. Quigley J. 8. Russell-Denny R. 21. Smallwood R.
40. Jarvis C. 17. Merritt A. 29. Patten K. 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M. 12. Thomas J. 25. Turner J. (G)
Coaches
Evans S.
Mullins H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Biggins H. ⚽, Doidge C. (A),
8', Mola C. 🟨,
14', Evans S. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Purrington B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Cavegn F. ⚽, James T. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Jenkins L. (Own goal),
61', 3 - 2, Gwengwe S. ⚽, Doidge C. (A),
74', Evans C. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
74', Davies T. ↓, Merritt A. ↑,
74', Doidge C. ↓, Sassi D. ↑,
74', 4 - 2, Kamwa B. ⚽, Young B. (A),
75', Kamwa B. 🟨,
76', Brennan C. 🟨,
79', Kamwa B. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
85', Forde S. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
85', James T. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
85', Bamba Y. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
87', Leigh T. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 3, Jarvis C. ⚽, Merritt A. (A),
90+6', Biggins H. ↓, Patten K. ↑,
90+9', 5 - 3, Cavegn F. ⚽, Russell-Denny R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, Bristol Rovers is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Howley R.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Newport: Crole J.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).