Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	5.96	4.07	1.58
	5.67	3.88	1.59	Watch
	5.8	3.9	1.62
	5.55	4.05	1.6	Watch
	5.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (4.38)	3.95 ↑ (3.59)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
16.7%

Draw
24%

Stockport County
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.3%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.2%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	18.7%	62.5%

Bristol Rovers - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Stockport will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 32. Hunt J. 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 3. Sousa L. 8. Ward G. 26. Butcher M. 11. Thomas L. 19. Hutchinson I. 10. Sotiriou R. 18. Martin C.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 33. Hills B. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 7. Diamond J. 14. Collar W. 26. Norwood O. 21. Stretton J. 3. Touray I. 9. Olaofe I. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
29. Lindsay J. 4. Moore T. 30. Reindorf M. 36. Roberts M. (G) 2. Senior J. 7. Sinclair S. 25. Swinkels S.	34. Addai C. (G) 22. Andresson B. 27. Bailey O. 24. Cosgrove S. 28. Hamilton M. 2. Knoyle K. 23. Rydel R.
Coaches
Calderon I.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Hunt J. 🟨,
44', Connolly C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Norwood O. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Olaofe I. ⚽,
70', Hunt J. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
70', Hutchinson I. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
70', Sousa L. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
70', Thomas L. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
72', Wootton K. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
73', Moxon O. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
73', Olaofe I. ↓, Cosgrove S. ↑,
83', Sotiriou R. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
86', Martin C. 🟨,
86', Diamond J. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Swinkels S. ⚽, Butcher M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stockport in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Stockport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
02.02.25	Bristol Rovers - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWL
- Stockport County
English League One
08.02.25	Stockport County - Barnsley	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Leyton Orient - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Stockport County - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Stockport County - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Reading - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.08.24	Stockport County - Bristol Rovers	2:0

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