Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Charlton Athletic		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.2	6
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.52	4.26	6.53
	1.52	4.09	6.2	Watch
	1.55	4	6
	1.53	4.3	6.05	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	4.19 ↑ (4.09)	6.13 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
62.1%

Draw
22.5%

Bristol Rovers
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 26. Small T. 8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 24. Godden M.	1. Griffiths J. (G) 4. Moore T. 5. Wilson J. 17. Taylor C. 6. Mola C. 29. Lindsay J. 8. Ward G. 7. Sinclair S. (C) 10. Sotiriou R. 28. Forde S. 18. Martin C.
Substitutes
18. Anderson K. 22. Aneke Ch. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 29. Kanu D. 11. Leaburn M. 25. Mannion W. (G) 4. Mitchell A.	35. Hall M. (G) 19. Hutchinson I. 24. O'Donkor G. 14. Sawyers R. 2. Senior J. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Jones N.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Mola C. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Godden M. ⚽, Campbell T. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Edwards J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mola C. ↓, Sousa L. ↑,
58', Sinclair S. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
58', Lindsay J. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
58', Ward G. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
65', Berry L. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
77', Sotiriou R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
77', Campbell T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
78', Godden M. ↓, Kanu D. ↑,
88', Docherty G. 🟨,
90', Edwards J. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Charlton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Charlton won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
25.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
21.01.25	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Preston North End - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLT
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
25.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	3:2
29.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	2:1
15.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	1:2
07.04.23	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	1:0
17.12.22	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	1:2
16.03.21	Charlton Athletic - Bristol Rovers	3:2
16.01.21	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	0:1

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