Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)


	Reading		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.42	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.43	3.6	2.67	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.63
	2.51	3.34	2.67	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.9)	3.41 ↑ (3.32)	2.65 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
37.7%

Draw
27.2%

Stockport County
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

27.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stockport County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Reading - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Stockport will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 12. Burns F. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 30. Ritchie M. 29. Doyle K. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 31. Hunt J. 33. Hills B. 15. Pye E. 10. Fevrier J. 26. Norwood O. (C) 23. Osborn B. 14. Edun T. 7. Diamond J. 11. Mothersille M. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
2. Ahmed A. 28. Camara M. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 25. Stevens J. (G) 22. Stickland M. 21. Williams R.	22. Andresson B. 65. Astles J. 27. Bailey O. 42. Edwards C. 48. Gardner C. 5. Olowu J. . Wogan A. (G)
Coaches
Richardson L.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Ritchie M. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
63', Doyle K. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
65', O'Connor P. 🟨,
77', Mothersille M. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
77', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
86', Fevrier J. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Wing L. ⚽, Dorsett A. J. R. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Reading is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stockport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Jacob M. (Injury)

There will not play in Stockport: Bate L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reading won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Reading won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 11.84% Reading: 6.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Stockport County	8	4	1	3	17:10	7	13
7	Reading	8	3	3	2	17:10	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
01.01.26	Reading - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Reading - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
13.12.25	Bradford City - Reading	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWL
- Stockport County
English League One
01.01.26	Northampton Town - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stockport County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.09.25	Stockport County - Reading	1:1
18.01.25	Reading - Stockport County	1:3
29.10.24	Stockport County - Reading	4:1

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