The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stockport County 67.1%
Draw 19.9%
Crawley Town 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.8%
21.8%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
17.2%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
16.7%
25%
Stockport County - Crawley Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 12. Southam-Hales M. 26. Norwood O. 8. Camps C. 3. Touray I. 14. Collar W. 19. Wootton K. (C) 9. Olaofe I.
1. Wollacott J. (G) 12. Camara P. 30. Radcliffe B. 3. Conroy D. (C) 5. Barker C. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 19. Kelly J. 23. Ibrahim B. 22. Adeyemo A. 9. Swan W. 29. Showunmi T.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 22. Andresson B. 27. Bailey O. 4. Bate L. 7. Diamond J. 28. Hamilton M. 23. Rydel R.
6. Anderson M. 10. Darcy R. 7. Forster H. 45. John-Jules T. 11. Roles J. 21. Sheik J. (G) 17. Tanimu B.
Coaches
Challinor D.
Elliot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Collar W. ⚽, Knoyle K. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Southam-Hales M. ⚽, Wootton K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Swan W. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
49', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
51', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
63', Ibrahim B. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
66', Kelly J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
70', Collar W. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
71', Camps C. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
71', Olaofe I. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
80', Adeyemo A. 🟨,
81', Adeyemo A. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
81', Camara P. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
85', Knoyle K. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Recent matches Stockport is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crawley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stockport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Stockport is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.8:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).
Watch
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Hinchliffe B. (G) 
Southam-Hales M. 
Norwood O. 
Touray I. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Camara P. 
Kelly J. 
Andresson B. 
Anderson M. 
Roles J. 
Tanimu B. 
Elliot R. 
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