Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.5	4.2
	1.87	3.4	4.33
	1.92	3.47	4.7
	1.84	3.4	4.42	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.33
	1.85	3.54	4.39	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.44 ↓ (3.61)	4.38 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
50.8%

Draw
27.5%

Bristol Rovers
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 17. Sibbick T. 15. Kerr J. (C) 23. Carragher J. 19. Robinson L. 44. Hungbo J. 21. Smith S. 10. Aasgaard T. 25. Norburn O. 29. Thomas S. 28. Taylor D.	1. Griffiths J. (G) 2. Senior J. 5. Wilson J. (C) 17. Taylor C. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L. 14. Sawyers R. 19. Hutchinson I. 8. Ward G. 10. Sotiriou R. 24. O'Donkor G.
Substitutes
4. Aimson W. 42. Goodwin W. 24. McHugh H. 20. McManaman C. 2. Mellish J. 18. Smith J. 12. Watson T. (G)	28. Forde S. 35. Hall M. (G) 29. Lindsay J. 18. Martin C. 6. Mola C. 4. Moore T. 7. Sinclair S.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Calderon I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Carragher J. ⚽, Hungbo J. (A),
32', Hungbo J. 🟨,
40', Wilson J. 🟨,
45+3', Sawyers R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Hungbo J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
58', Thomas L. 🟨,
62', Thomas L. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
62', O'Donkor G. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
69', Hutchinson I. ↓, Martin C. ↑,
69', Norburn O. ↓, McHugh H. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Smith J. ⚽, Taylor D. (A),
77', Sousa L. ↓, Mola C. ↑,
77', Ward G. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
87', Thomas S. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
87', Aasgaard T. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 17 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wigan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 1.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
21.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Burton Albion	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.01.25	Mansfield Town - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	0:3 ✺
29.12.24	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLL
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
18.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Barnsley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
English League One
04.01.25	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Bristol Rovers - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
29.12.24	Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.09.24	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:4
27.04.24	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0
23.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	4:1
23.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:2
24.11.20	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	0:0
24.04.18	Bristol Rovers - Wigan Athletic	1:1
16.09.17	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	3:0

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