Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.5	9
	1.2	6.59	7.19
	1.21	6.59	7.19
	1.17	6.4	11.7
	1.2	6.4	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)	6.5 ↑ (5)	8.7 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
75.7%

Draw
13.9%

Baglan Dragons
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Briton Ferry Llansawel's performance.

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 10).

Briton Ferry in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Baglan Dragons is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Briton Ferry is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Briton Ferry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.23	Baglan Dragons - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Cwmbran Celtic	3:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
08.12.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
17.11.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Airbus UK Broughton - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.23	Baglan Dragons - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2 ✺
15.12.23	Goytre United - Baglan Dragons	3:2 ✺
08.12.23	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Baglan Dragons - Trefelin	4:1 ✺
17.11.23	Cambrian United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.12.23	Baglan Dragons - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:2

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