Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 23

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Harman J. (Wal)


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	7
	1.42	4.65	5.9
	1.42	4.87	6.45
	1.44	4.73	6.41	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6
	1.44	4.59	6.36
	1.4	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	4.76 ↑ (4.39)	6.3 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
65.9%

Draw
19.4%

Llanelli
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

20.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.7%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Briton Ferry will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Llanelli will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llanelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Briton Ferry (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Briton Ferry (votes: 1 - 50%). Llanelli (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 20. Anderson O. 2. Bates L. 22. Bates M. 15. Cooper L. 23. Fanning J. 4. Gammond A. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 8. Price T. 9. Walters T.	1. Pennock A. (G) 2. Bright H. 4. Cronin S. 15. Gibbings B. 6. Hopkins J. 11. Jenkins T. 20. Lester J. 18. Owen L. 14. Parsons S. S. 16. Power M. 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
7. Dyer R. 5. Evans K. 14. Herdman L. 21. Packer D. 10. Snaith S. 6. Williams K. 1. Wilson R. (G)	22. Baker J. 17. Booth R. 21. Evans M. 3. Farrell-Alli J. 7. Hinds S. 23. Powell E. 13. Williams O. (G)
Coaches
Dyer A.	John L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Bright H. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Price T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Williams D. ⚽,
63', Gammond A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Jenkins K. ⚽,
67', Cooper L. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
71', Bates M. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,
71', Anderson O. ↓, Snaith S. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Snaith S. ⚽,
78', Williams D. ↓, Booth R. ↑,
78', Gibbings B. ↓, Hinds S. ↑,
78', Bright H. ↓, Evans M. ↑,
81', Price T. 🟨,
90', Price T. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
90+2', Lester J. ↓, Baker J. ↑,
90+4', Jenkins T. ↓, Farrell-Alli J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 4.

In recent matches, Briton Ferry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Llanelli is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Briton Ferry has had a series of away games.

In this match, Briton Ferry is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Briton Ferry won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
31.12.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pen-y-Bont - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	4:2 ✺
16.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTLT
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.26	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:1 ✺
01.01.26	Llanelli - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Llanelli - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	1:2
22.08.25	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4
Welsh Cymru South
13.04.24	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:5
Welsh FA Cup
08.12.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	1:0
Welsh Cymru South
28.07.23	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	2:0
24.03.23	Llanelli - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:2
19.08.22	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	1:1

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