Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Old Road (Briton Ferry)

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.32	3.5	2.68
	2.42	3.5	2.77
	2.36	3.71	2.71	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.33	3.64	2.74
	2.33	3.6	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2.67 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
39.1%

Draw
26.2%

Haverfordwest County
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+2%)

Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fuller W. (G) 2. Bates L. 22. Bates M. 23. Fanning J. 4. Gammond A. 3. Jenkins K. 12. Owen R. 8. Price T. 10. Snaith S. 9. Walters T. 6. Williams K.	1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 6. Bacon J. 10. Hawkins D. 19. Kenniford K. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G. 7. Watts R.
Substitutes
20. Anderson O. 15. Cooper L. 7. Dyer R. 18. George R. 11. Hurford C. 21. Packer D. 1. Wilson R. (G)	23. Hughes W. 24. Humphreys I. 5. Jones A. 20. Jones O. 11. Makwiramiti P. 31. Rees L. (G) 44. Thomas H.
Coaches
Dyer A.	Pennock T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Shephard C. 🟨,
22', Bates M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Snaith S. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Hawkins D. ⚽,
67', Gammond A. ↓, Hurford C. ↑,
67', Jenkins K. ↓, Dyer R. ↑,
76', Fanning J. 🟨,
87', Hawkins D. ↓, Jones O. ↑,
89', Bates M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Ahmun B. ⚽,
90+4', McCarthy K. ↓, Makwiramiti P. ↑,

Preview

Briton Ferry is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Haverfordwest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Briton Ferry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Haverfordwest: 0.82% Briton Ferry: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Briton Ferry	12	3	3	6	11:20	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest	12	3	1	8	7:17	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.01.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
31.12.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Barry Town United	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Pen-y-Bont - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWTL
- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.01.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3 ✺
30.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Flint Town United - Haverfordwest County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.01.26	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:3
25.08.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	0:1
04.01.25	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	5:1
15.10.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Haverfordwest County	1:2
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.19	Haverfordwest County - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:4

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