Match Info

Cymru Premier - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff)

Referee: Harman J. (Wal)


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.7	11
	1.23	5.88	11.6
	1.25	5.61	11.53	Watch
	1.22	5	11
	1.23	5.35	10
	1.23	5.66	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)	5.53 ↑ (4.88)	11.02 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
75%

Draw
16.7%

Llanelli
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

12.5%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Metropolitan's performance.

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-28.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cardiff Metropolitan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Griffiths E. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 7. Evans E. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 6. Reynolds R. 21. Soady B.	1. Pennock A. (G) 17. Booth R. 4. Cronin S. 21. Evans M. 15. Gibbings B. 6. Hopkins J. 20. Lester J. 7. Lloyd J. 14. Parsons S. S. 16. Power M. 19. Williams D.
Substitutes
20. John H. 14. Morris J. 35. Popham B. 9. Rees L. 11. Roscrow A. 13. Seager S. (G) 4. Walsh L.	22. Baker J. 2. Bright H. 9. Hinds S. 18. Owen L. 3. Parry J. 8. Powell E. 13. Williams O. (G)
Coaches
Jenkins R.	Boyle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Lloyd J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
63', Lloyd J. 🟨,
69', Williams D. ↓, Hinds S. ↑,
73', Jones S. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
82', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5.

Recent form of Cardiff Metropolitan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Llanelli has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cardiff Metropolitan is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cardiff Metropolitan	12	6	3	3	23:13	10	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.26	Bala Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Haverfordwest County	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Barry Town United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTTL
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
07.02.26	Llanelli - Flint Town United	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
13.01.26	Barry Town United - Llanelli	5:1 ✺
01.01.26	Llanelli - Pen-y-Bont	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Haverfordwest County - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
05.12.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	2:1
07.10.25	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3
26.04.19	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	3:2
08.03.19	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:4
14.12.18	Cardiff Metropolitan - Llanelli	4:0
12.10.18	Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:2

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