Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Broń Radom		Legia II

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.85	1.62
	2.38	3.38	2.53
	3.11	3.43	2.08	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.51	3.3	2.43	Watch
	3.36	3.68	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.36)	3.47 ↓ (3.68)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
30.4%

Draw
26.6%

Legia II
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

24.1%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legia II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Broń Radom - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Saletra M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Jakubczyk P. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, White J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Legia II is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Division 2

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 0.

Broń Radom is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Legia II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Broń Radom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Legia II has had a series of home games.

In this match, Legia II is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Broń Radom won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Broń Radom won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Broń Radom - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 26.38%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLLL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Legia II - Wikielec	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Legia II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Legia II - Troszyn	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	Legia II - Broń Radom	7:0
01.03.25	Legia II - Broń Radom	3:2
10.08.24	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:1
16.03.24	Legia II - Broń Radom	4:0
23.08.23	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:1
08.04.23	Legia II - Broń Radom	5:2
02.09.22	Broń Radom - Legia II	2:2

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