Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 41

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Bromley		York City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.46	4.26
	1.89	3.46	4.27
	1.83	3.5	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.76
	1.86	3.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)	3.81 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromley
49.2%

Draw
26.6%

York City
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Bromley - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: Bromley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Thomas L. (G) 4. Charles A. 9. Cheek M. 11. Dennis L. 3. Elerewe D. 28. Krauhaus B. 7. Passley J. 2. Reynolds C. 23. Topalloj B. 17. Webster B. 18. Whitely C.	35. Watson R. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 24. Amos D. 39. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 19. Chadwick B. 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 29. Hunt A. 11. Kouhyar Q. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 37. Smith W.
Substitutes
20. Arthurs J. 32. Aziaya D. (G) 16. Grant K. 29. Olomola O. 8. Taylor-Hart K.	10. De Castro Q. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 6. McLaughlin P. 23. Siziba Z. 38. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Elerewe D. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Armstrong M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Reynolds C. ↓, Taylor-Hart K. ↑,
59', Dennis L. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
73', Kouhyar Q. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
73', Batty D. ↓, McLaughlin P. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Akinyemi D. ⚽,
83', Latty-Fairweather T. ↓, Siziba Z. ↑,
84', Hunt A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromley won 2.

Bromley is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

York could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bromley is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bromley won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Bromley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromley FC
English National League
20.03.24	Wealdstone - Bromley	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Bromley - Kidderminster Harriers	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.03.24	Bromley - Barnet	2:0 ✺
English National League
05.03.24	Oldham Athletic - Bromley	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Bromley - Halifax Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWTW
- York City
English National League
16.03.24	York City - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
12.03.24	Altrincham - York City	6:1 ✺
09.03.24	Kidderminster Harriers - York City	0:0 ✺
05.03.24	York City - Fylde	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	York City - Wealdstone	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
07.10.23	York City - Bromley	2:2
07.03.23	Bromley - York City	0:3
13.09.22	York City - Bromley	2:1
English FA Trophy
02.04.22	Bromley - York City	3:1
English National League
04.04.17	York City - Bromley	0:2
26.11.16	Bromley - York City	3:0

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