Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 31

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.98	3.55	3.43
	1.94	3.68	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	3.26 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
46.6%

Draw
25.5%

Hednesford Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

23.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 3.

Recent matches Bromsgrove is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hednesford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bromsgrove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bromsgrove have a series of guest games.

Bromsgrove will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bromsgrove won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Redditch United - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Stourbridge - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	St Ives Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLTW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.23	Hednesford Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	9:1 ✺
14.01.23	Hednesford Town - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
07.01.23	Bedford Town - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
02.01.23	Hednesford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3
18.12.21	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2
28.09.21	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hednesford Town	2:1
27.10.20	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	5:1
15.10.19	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hednesford Town	4:0

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