Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 25

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Bromsgrove Sporting		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.04	3.35	3.2
	2.08	3.56	3.23
	2	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.34	3.28
	2.04	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.29)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	3.2 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bromsgrove Sporting
44.7%

Draw
27%

Hitchin Town
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bromsgrove Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromsgrove Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, King R. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Deall R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 4.

Bromsgrove is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hitchin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bromsgrove won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bromsgrove won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bromsgrove Sporting
English Southern League Central Division
01.01.25	Halesowen Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Stourbridge	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Stratford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 WTWWW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.01.25	Hitchin Town - Barwell	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Hitchin Town - AFC Telford United	3:3 ✺
26.12.24	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Hitchin Town - Stamford	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
10.08.24	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:3
24.02.24	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:2
21.10.23	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town	2:1
07.01.23	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0
27.08.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town	2:1
23.04.22	Hitchin Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0
11.09.21	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town	1:0

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