Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 14

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hitchin Town		Stamford

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.40	3.40
	1.88	3.30	3.50
	1.88	3.51	3.61
	1.69	3.79	4.68	Watch
	1.85	3.45	3.55
	1.91	3.25	3.60
	1.91	3.40	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.65)	3.44 ↓ (3.7)	3.7 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
49%

Draw
26.4%

Stamford
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

24.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hitchin Town's form might have worsened.

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Hitchin Town - Stamford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stamford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brooks O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Jones C. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Brooks O. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 22nd in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Hitchin (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Stamford is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Stamford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hitchin carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hitchin has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 0.6:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hitchin against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hitchin	14	3	4	7	16:20	-4	13
22	Stamford	14	1	1	12	4:35	-31	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Hitchin Town - Peterborough Sports	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Leamington - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
29.09.26	Hitchin Town - Leighton Town	1:0 ✺
22.09.26	Bury Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
17.10.26	Stamford - Real Bedford	0:4 ✺
13.10.26	Stamford - Stratford Town	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Banbury United - Stamford	3:2 ✺
29.09.26	Needham Market - Stamford	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Stamford - Bishops Stortford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.12.24	Hitchin Town - Stamford	0:2
13.08.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0
20.04.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0
11.11.23	Hitchin Town - Stamford	1:2
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hitchin Town - Stamford	2:3

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