Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 21

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Stamford

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.95	3.5	2.1
	2.96	3.79	2.13
	3.03	3.71	2.15
	3	3.44	2.11
	2.95	3.5	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.24)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	2.1 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
30.8%

Draw
25.6%

Stamford
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.9%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Stamford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Hitchin Town - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Blunden J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 2, Duffy J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Hitchin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stamford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stamford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hitchin Town - Harborough Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWT
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Stamford - Stratford Town	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Stamford - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Redditch United - Stamford	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Stamford - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Leiston - Stamford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.08.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0
20.04.24	Stamford - Hitchin Town	2:0
11.11.23	Hitchin Town - Stamford	1:2
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Hitchin Town - Stamford	2:3

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