Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.3
	1.84	3.75	3.45
	1.9	3.94	3.27
	1.9	4.04	3.44
	1.82	3.7	3.58
	1.84	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)	3.8 ↓ (3.96)	3.42 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
49.2%

Draw
24%

Hitchin Town
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sudbury Town's form might have worsened.

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hitchin Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sudbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hitchin Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Peters O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 1 - 1, Snee H. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sudbury is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sudbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sudbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	Barwell - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Sudbury Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Sudbury Town - Stratford Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Halesowen Town - Sudbury Town	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
30.11.24	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
23.11.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Hitchin Town - Harborough Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.03.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:0
28.10.23	Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town	2:1

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