Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 15

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.88	2.3
	3.2	2.95	2.25
	3.3	3	2.25
	2.96	3	2.66
	3.49	2.97	2.34
	3.3	2.9	2.25
	3.45	2.94	2.23
	3.45	2.85	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	2.32 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
28%

Draw
31.8%

Aldosivi
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

30.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Luque M. 2. Masuero A. (C) 6. Herranz N. 3. Gamarra G. 8. Nouet M. 5. Pereyra N. 7. Lovazzano L. 10. Benitez F. 9. Pulicastro F. 11. Nouet F.	1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Mottes G. 3. Godoy F. 7. Sosa A. 8. Pineiro G. 5. Sills J. 11. Lamendola N. 10. Torres E. 9. Colazo A.
Substitutes
13. Arrechea N. 20. Buter L. 19. Castillo L. 16. Chavez F. 15. Patrizio T. 12. Peralta A. (G) 14. Sangiovani R. 17. Sosa S. 18. Sproat M.	. Alonso A. . Atamanuk C. (G) . Esponda M. . Guerrico I. . Guzman N. . Iniguez E. . Lujan S. . Ubeda S. . Varaldo L.
Coaches
Vico P.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Torres E. ↓, Varaldo L. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Sosa A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
65', Nouet M. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,
65', Nouet F. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
72', Luque M. ↓, Buter L. ↑,
72', Benitez F. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
76', Lamendola N. ↓, Guerrico I. ↑,
82', Masuero A. 🟨,
83', Lovazzano L. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
84', Guerrico I. 🟨,
90', Colazo A. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Brown de Adrogué is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aldosivi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brown de Adrogué could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Colón	0:4 ✺
22.04.24	Almirante Brown - Brown de Adrogué	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Brown de Adrogué - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWLT
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.24	Aldosivi - Temperley	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Morón - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Aldosivi - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Aldosivi	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Aldosivi - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.07.23	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
18.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	2:0
26.11.17	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
14.03.14	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
13.09.13	Brown de Adrogué - Aldosivi	1:1

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