Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4
	2.1	2.6	4
	2.19	2.9	4.12
	2.05	2.9	3.7
	2.06	3.2	3.85	Watch
	2.11	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.78)	2.93 ↑ (2.83)	3.89 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
44.2%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Maipú
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

32.6%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

33.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brown de Adrogué's performance.

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brown de Adrogué that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brown de Adrogué: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez H. (C) 4. Rosales P. 2. Lopez T. 6. Kippes A. 3. Sanchez A. 11. Perinciolo F. 5. Lovazzano L. 8. Da Campo N. 7. Belleggia L. 9. Sandoval I. 10. Vidal P.	1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Agorreca N. 6. Gonzales 3. Ferracuti G. 7. Gonzalez S. 5. Ramirez R. 8. Montero F. (C) 10. Egel M. 9. Almiron E. 11. Herrera L.
Substitutes
19. Castillo L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 14. Jerez Silva L. 13. Mayola E. 20. Mendoza J. 17. Nouet F. 18. Obregon B. 15. Sangiovani R. 16. Sayavedra R.	13. Coronel F. 17. Giraudo V. 20. Klusener G. 15. Manzur A. 16. Moyano S. 19. Ozuna E. 12. Rehak G. (G) 18. Veliez A. 14. Viguet M.
Coaches
Vico P.	Garcia L.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brown de Adrogué will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.08.23	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
06.08.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
30.07.23	Brown de Adrogué - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTL
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.08.23	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Deportivo Maipú - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Maipú - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.04.23	Deportivo Maipú - Brown de Adrogué	1:0
10.04.22	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:2

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