Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Brown de Adrogué		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	3.1
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.6	2.8	2.95	Watch
	2.7	2.79	3.2
	2.7	2.73	3.2
	2.5	2.8	3
	2.58	2.74	3.07
	2.6	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)	2.79 ↑ (2.71)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
35.8%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Madryn
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

34.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

33.3%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 2. Arrechea N. 6. Masuero A. (C) 3. Gamarra G. 8. Nouet F. 5. Desio G. 7. Lovazzano L. 10. Sangiovani R. 9. Buter L. 11. Pulicastro F.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Calderon P. 6. Zules J. 3. Moreno A. 8. Peinipil M. 5. Recalde F. 7. Crego D. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Diellos D. 11. Ferreyra B.
Substitutes
18. Benitez F. 19. Castillo L. 15. Chavez F. 13. Herranz N. 20. Lopez B. 17. Modon S. 14. Patrizio T. 12. Peralta A. (G) 16. Sproat M.	18. Arreguin E. 12. Hass J. (G) 17. Jara E. 13. Mansilla M. 20. Palacio J. 16. Perez B. 15. Rivadero M. 19. Zegarra Z. 14. Zuliani H.
Coaches
Vico P.	Gracian L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Lovazzano L. 🟨,
41', Buter L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Peinipil M. 🟨,
62+2', Ardiles F. ↓, Arreguin E. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Diellos D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Primera Nacional (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B (Apertura: )).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Deportivo Madryn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Brown de Adrogué won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Chaco For Ever - Brown de Adrogué	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Brown de Adrogué - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Club Almagro - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLLT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.24	Deportivo Madryn - Temperley	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Deportivo Madryn - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
05.03.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Madryn - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Madryn	3:1
08.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
12.03.22	Deportivo Madryn - Brown de Adrogué	1:1

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