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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 34.3%
Draw 33%
Deportivo Camioneros 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
31.7%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
31.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Deportivo Camioneros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Camioneros than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Camioneros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Castano A. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 10. Noble M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. (C)
1. Ferrario R. (G) 9. Aguirre F. 10. Brizuela L. U. 7. De Jesus M. 3. Del Bianco E. 11. Huguenet I. 8. Lopez P. 4. Miguez D. 5. Nelle S. 2. Pusula G. 6. Sainz N. (C)
Substitutes
20. Cerulo M. 14. Cesare L. 16. Ferrario F. 19. Galeano V. 17. Galvan L. 15. Patrizio T. 13. Pieres M. 18. Sproat M. 12. Wysocki M. (G)
19. Acosta R. 17. Giorno R. 18. Gonzalez N. 13. Heredia M. 16. Lopez G. 20. Morinigo J. 15. Moyano F. 12. Ramirez H. (G) 14. Rebussone F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Baldunciel L. ⚽,
18', Sanchez L. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Lopez B. ⚽,
24', Robles E. 🟨,
33', Aguirre C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Noble M. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
59', De Jesus M. ↓, Acosta R. ↑,
62', Huguenet I. 🟨,
66', Miguez D. ↓, Rebussone F. ↑,
66', Huguenet I. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Lopez B. ⚽,
78', Meaurio N. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
78', Baldunciel L. ↓, Pieres M. ↑,
85', Aguirre F. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
86', Lopez B. ↓, Cerulo M. ↑,
89', Castano A. ↓, Cesare L. ↑,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 20th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
Brown de Adrogué is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Deportivo Camioneros has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Brown de Adrogué has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Deportivo Camioneros
39
17
13
9
44:30
14
64
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Camioneros - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.55%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.