The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brown de Adrogué 43%
Draw 31.7%
San Martín de Burzaco 25.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
29.4%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
29%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 2. Sanchez L. 6. Pieres M. 3. Guerrero B. 7. Baldunciel L. 5. Patrizio T. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. 9. Baez B. 11. Meaurio N.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 3. Siliman A. 2. Orellana D. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 6. Denis K. 5. Gonzalez R. 10. Velazquez R. 11. Gauna N. A. 9. Chavez B. 7. Zagert E.
Substitutes
13. Bogado J. 15. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 16. Ferrario F. 17. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 20. Lopez B. 19. Luraschi G. 18. Noble M.
14. Escudero M. 13. Tobon J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Modon S. ⚽,
20', (Penalty Awarded),
30', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Patrizio T. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Zagert E. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
58', Sproat M. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
58', Silva J. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
63', Meaurio N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
69', Aguirre C. 🟨,
70', Pieres M. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
70', Baldunciel L. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
71', Zagert E. ↓, Geneiro L. ↑,
87', Gauna N. A. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
90+1', Chavez B. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
90+2', Velazquez R. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
90+2', Lazarev R. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 13).
Brown de Adrogué is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SM de Burzaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Brown de Adrogué could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
41
12
15
14
41:46
-5
51
20
Brown Adrogue
41
9
16
16
25:38
-13
43
Last Results with these Odds
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Wysocki M. (G) 
Galeano V. 
Tobon J. 
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