Match Info

Primera B - Round 35

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brown de Adrogué		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.80	3.50
	2.10	2.90	3.30	Watch
	2.16	2.80	3.76
	2.11	2.91	3.65	Watch
	2.13	2.70	3.70
	2.14	3.03	3.66
	2.07	2.85	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)	3.58 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
43%

Draw
31.7%

San Martín de Burzaco
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.4%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 2. Sanchez L. 6. Pieres M. 3. Guerrero B. 7. Baldunciel L. 5. Patrizio T. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. 9. Baez B. 11. Meaurio N.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 3. Siliman A. 2. Orellana D. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 6. Denis K. 5. Gonzalez R. 10. Velazquez R. 11. Gauna N. A. 9. Chavez B. 7. Zagert E.
Substitutes
13. Bogado J. 15. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 16. Ferrario F. 17. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 20. Lopez B. 19. Luraschi G. 18. Noble M.	14. Escudero M. 13. Tobon J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Modon S. ⚽,
20', (Penalty Awarded),
30', Silva J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Patrizio T. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Zagert E. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
58', Sproat M. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
58', Silva J. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
63', Meaurio N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
69', Aguirre C. 🟨,
70', Pieres M. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
70', Baldunciel L. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
71', Zagert E. ↓, Geneiro L. ↑,
87', Gauna N. A. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
90+1', Chavez B. ↓, Cuenca C. ↑,
90+2', Velazquez R. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
90+2', Lazarev R. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 13).

Brown de Adrogué is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SM de Burzaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brown de Adrogué could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Brown de Adrogué won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
06.09.26	Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Villa Dálmine - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
05.09.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué	0:0
08.09.25	Brown de Adrogué - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0
19.04.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué	1:2

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