The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Italiano 47%
Draw 31%
Brown de Adrogué 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
31.1%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
27.7%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Italiano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brown de Adrogué could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sportivo Italiano - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 8. Centurion F. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 11. Guzman M. 7. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 9. Molina F. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
1. Giovini S. (G) 6. Aguirre C. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 8. Castano A. 3. Guerrero B. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 10. Patrizio T. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. (C)
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 20. Caceres P. 15. Daivez A. 19. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 14. Durante P. 17. Fortino R. 16. Guerra A. 18. Hirigoyen T.
16. Ferrario F. 19. Galeano V. 15. Gonzalez L. 20. Luraschi G. 17. Noble M. 14. Ortiz A. 13. Pieres M. 18. Sproat M. 12. Wysocki M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Merzario E. 🟨,
31', Castano A. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45', Gimenez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baldunciel L. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
46', Lopez B. ↓, Sproat M. ↑,
57', Molina F. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
57', Centurion F. ↓, Guerra A. ↑,
57', Patrizio T. ↓, Pieres M. ↑,
58', Robles E. 🟨,
72', Laborda L. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,
72', Gimenez K. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
77', Castano A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
81', Meaurio N. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
87', Guzman M. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
88', Pieres M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 20th).
Sportivo Italiano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Brown de Adrogué is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sportivo Italiano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Italiano has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Italiano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Yordan G. (G) 
Galeano V. 
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