Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday


	Broń Radom		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.46
	4.98	4.3	1.47
	5.59	4.46	1.48	Watch
	4.08	5.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.05)	4.57 ↑ (3.8)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
18.3%

Draw
19.6%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23.4%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Broń Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Bago Timite H. J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Broń Radom is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Broń Radom won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Broń Radom won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Broń Radom - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Concordia Elbląg - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTTL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	4:3 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:1
03.06.23	Broń Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2
05.11.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	4:0
23.08.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0
07.09.19	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	0:2

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