Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 25Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Brusaporto |
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Castellanzese |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.88 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
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2.05 |
3.19 |
3.43 |
 Watch |
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1.95 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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2.08 |
3.38 |
3.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.62) |
3.22 ↓
(3.58) |
3.49 ↓
(4.99) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brusaporto
45.7% | Draw
28.3% | Castellanzese
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusaporto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusaporto's form might have worsened.Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellanzese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusaporto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellanzese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Brusaporto - Castellanzese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 2.Brusaporto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Castellanzese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2). In this match, Brusaporto is a strong favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Brusaporto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 19.10.25 | Castellanzese - Brusaporto | 0:1 | | 05.05.24 | Castellanzese - Brusaporto | 3:3 | | 20.12.23 | Brusaporto - Castellanzese | 2:0 | | 27.03.22 | Castellanzese - Brusaporto | 2:1 | | 07.11.21 | Brusaporto - Castellanzese | 1:3 | | 01.12.19 | Castellanzese - Brusaporto | 0:3 |
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