Match Info
Serie D - Group B - Round 24Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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Castellanzese |
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Villa Valle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.72 |
3 |
2.4 |
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 |
2.66 |
3.03 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.68 |
3.08 |
2.53 |
 Watch |
 |
2.63 |
2.88 |
2.5 |
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2.72 |
3.14 |
2.62 |
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2.66 |
3 |
2.54 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.96) |
3.02 ↓
(3.33) |
2.52 ↑
(2.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castellanzese
33.9% | Draw
30% | Villa Valle
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Castellanzese - Villa Valle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Chessa M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 2 - 0, Castelletto E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Castellanzese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Castellanzese - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Villa Valle - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group B | | | 12.10.25 | Villa Valle - Castellanzese | 2:1 | | 21.01.24 | Villa Valle - Castellanzese | 3:2 | | 24.09.23 | Castellanzese - Villa Valle | 0:0 | | 27.04.22 | Villa Valle - Castellanzese | 1:1 | | 12.12.21 | Castellanzese - Villa Valle | 0:1 | | 03.11.19 | Castellanzese - Villa Valle | 1:1 |
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