Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Sondrio

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.45	4.05
	1.77	3.57	4.05	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.23
	1.76	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	4.13 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
51.9%

Draw
26.2%

Sondrio
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

24.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sondrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sondrio than the current prediction. (-2%)

Castellanzese - Sondrio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Chessa M. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 1, Vasil M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Longo P. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sondrio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castellanzese is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellanzese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Castellanzese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
25.01.26	Oltrepo - Castellanzese	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Castellanzese - Breno	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Castellanzese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLW
- Sondrio Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.01.26	Sondrio - Scanzorosciate	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Varesina - Sondrio	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Brusaporto - Sondrio	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Real Calepina - Sondrio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
28.09.25	Sondrio - Castellanzese	0:8
16.02.25	Sondrio - Castellanzese	2:2
20.10.24	Castellanzese - Sondrio	2:2

Castellanzese - Sondrio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide