Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)


	Brusque		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.9	Watch
	2.55	2.87	2.75
	2.65	2.95	2.85
	2.7	2.94	3.06
	2.7	2.94	3.06
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.66	3.02	2.76	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.39)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
35.7%

Draw
31.7%

Operário Ferroviario
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

32.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Brusque - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 99. Mateus Pivo 6. Matheus Salustiano 4. Wallace 66. Alex Ruan 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 8. Jhemerson 7. Dionisio 70. Anderson Rosa 80. Osman 9. Olavio	1. Rafael Santos (C) 23. Savio 30. Joseph 4. Willian Machado 13. Lucas Hipolito 55. Jacy 29. Dudu Scheit 31. Ronald 10. Cassio Gabriel 77. Maxwell 90. Ronaldo
Substitutes
27. Diego Mathias 11. Diego Tavares 2. Everton Alemao 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 3. Ianson 21. Luiz Henrique 33. Madison 19. Marcos Serrato 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 94. Paulinho Moccelin 15. Ronei	3. Allan Godoi 11. Felipe Augusto 9. Felipe Garcia 91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 22. Guilherme Pira 5. Indio 88. Neto Paraiba 28. Pacheco 6. Para 70. Pedro Lucas 19. Rodrigo Lindoso 8. Vinicius Diniz
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Jacy 🟨,
17', Ronaldo 🟨,
28', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
39', Jhemerson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jacy ↓, Rodrigo Lindoso ↑,
55', Dudu Scheit ↓, Pedro Lucas ↑,
62', Rodrigo Lindoso 🟨,
65', Ronald ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
65', Ronaldo ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
65', Osman ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
74', Olavio ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
74', Jhemerson ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
77', Pedro Lucas 🟨,
81', Cassio Gabriel ↓, Indio ↑,
86', Dionisio ↓, Diego Mathias ↑,
86', Anderson Rosa ↓, Marcos Serrato ↑,
88', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brusque won 3.

Brusque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Operário Ferroviario: Fagner Alemao (Red Card)

There are questionable in Operário Ferroviario: Felipe Augusto (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Brusque won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.05.24	Sport Recife - Brusque	4:1 ✺
05.05.24	Brusque - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Brusque - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Coritiba - Brusque	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
11.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.24	Ituano - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
19.04.24	Operário Ferroviario - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.09.23	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:2
17.09.23	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	4:3
26.08.23	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.22	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	0:0
01.07.22	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
19.11.21	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	2:0
15.08.21	Operário Ferroviario - Brusque	1:1

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