Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 4

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)


	Sport Recife		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	9.5	Watch
	1.38	4.33	7.5
	1.4	4.33	8
	1.46	4.2	8.26
	1.4	4.44	9.38
	1.4	4.2	8
	1.38	4.15	9.39	Watch
	1.39	4.1	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.24 ↑ (3.9)	8.58 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
67%

Draw
22.1%

Brusque
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.6%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

21.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Sport Recife - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: Sport Recife will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 54. Pedro Lima 15. Rafael Thyere 40. Luciano Castan 6. Felipinho 10. Ruiz A. 8. Dominguez F. 94. Felipe 11. Romarinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 19. Lucas Lima	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 99. Mateus Pivo 3. Ianson 6. Matheus Salustiano 12. Marcelo Nunes 5. Rodolfo Potiguar 19. Marcos Serrato 7. Dionisio 80. Osman 11. Diego Tavares 9. Olavio
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 44. Chico 30. Chrystian Barletta 29. Dalbert 7. Fabinho 43. Luciano 59. Ortiz C. 27. Pablo Dyego 17. Pedro Vilhena 28. Rosales R. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 14. Vinicius Faria	70. Anderson Rosa 27. Diego Mathias 35. Georgemy (G) 17. Guilherme Queiroz 8. Jhemerson 18. Keke 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 94. Paulinho Moccelin 15. Ronei
Coaches
Soso M.	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Pedro Lima 🟨,
41', Rodolfo Potiguar 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', Ruiz A. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
61', Lucas Lima ↓, Chrystian Barletta ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Ortiz C. ⚽,
63', Olavio ↓, Keke ↑,
63', Mateus Pivo ↓, Ronei ↑,
69', Ortiz C. 🟨,
70', Ronei 🟨,
72', Osman ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
72', Dionisio ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
72', Diego Tavares ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Ortiz C. (A),
76', Romarinho ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
77', Pedro Lima ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
80', Felipe 🟨,
80', Paulinho Moccelin 🟨,
81', 3 - 1, Keke ⚽, Jhemerson (A),
87', 4 - 1, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Rosales R. (A),
90', Keke 🟥,

Preview

Sport Recife is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brusque is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brusque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sport Recife is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Sport Recife: Pedro Martins (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sport Recife to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.24	Coritiba - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.24	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Amazonas - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.24	Sport Recife - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWWW
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
05.05.24	Brusque - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Brusque - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
28.04.24	Coritiba - Brusque	1:0 ✺
23.04.24	Brusque - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.04.24	Criciúma - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.10.22	Brusque - Sport Recife	0:1
25.06.22	Sport Recife - Brusque	0:0
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Brusque - Sport Recife	2:1

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