Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Brusque		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.26	2.8	3.3	Watch
	2.38	2.98	3.62
	2.4	2.68	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.25	2.78	3.4	Watch
	2.26	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	3.34 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
40%

Draw
32.5%

São Bernardo
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Brusque - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 90. Alvaro 7. Biel Fonseca 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao (C) 6. Italo 30. Jean Mangabeira 16. Roberto Rosa 10. Robinho 18. Thomaz 4. Torres J.	12. Junior Oliveira (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 32. Bastos R. 26. Dudu Miraima 11. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 13. Matheus Salustiano 59. Pedro Felipe 17. Romisson
Substitutes
22. Andre Luiz (G) 39. Carlos Biro 19. Joao Veras 8. Joao Vithor 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 77. Neto 29. Thiago Freitas 11. Vinicius Faria	7. Echapora 90. Felipe Garcia 19. Henry 5. Kadi Silva 95. Para 25. Pedro Carrerette 4. Rafael Forster 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 30. Sillas 84. Vanderlei (G) 10. Vitinho
Coaches
Gouveia F.	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Diego Mathias ⚽,
35', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Alvaro ↓, Joao Veras ↑,
57', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Sillas ↑,
62', Robinho ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
73', Pedro Felipe ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
75', Italo ↓, Mauricio Ribeiro ↑,
75', Thomaz ↓, Carlos Biro ↑,
77', Hugo Sanches ↓, Rafael Forster ↑,
83', Arthur Henrique ↓, Para ↑,
83', 🟨,
84', Dudu Miraima ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
89', Joao Veras 🟨,
90+1', Matheus Salustiano 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In recent matches, Brusque has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

São Bernardo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brusque may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brusque will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ponte Preta - Brusque	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Brusque - ABC	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Brusque - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLTT
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
05.05.25	São Bernardo - Londrina	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Itabaiana - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.09.23	São Bernardo - Brusque	2:0
09.09.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0
31.07.23	Brusque - São Bernardo	0:0

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