The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponte Preta 53.4%
Draw 29%
Brusque 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
27.5%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Ponte Preta - Brusque Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Ponte Preta (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Diogo Silva (G) 15. Artur 77. Bruno Lopes 10. Elvis 9. Jeh 17. Jonas Toro 55. Leo Oliveira 27. Luiz Felipe 28. Pacheco 4. Saimon 34. Wanderson
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 60. Ailton Santos 15. Alex Paulino 7. Biel Fonseca 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 23. Guilherme Pira 30. Jean Mangabeira 97. Mateus Pivo 9. Olavio (C) 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
7. Diego Tavares 3. Edson Rogerio 70. Emanuel L. 35. Gustavo Lopes 20. Joao Gabriel 62. Kevyn 36. Leocovick 25. Lucas Candido 18. Matheus Henrique 8. Miguel 80. Pedrinho 1. Pedro Rocha (G)
73. Adrianinho 66. Alex Ruan 22. Andre Luiz (G) 50. Bernardo 17. Clinton U. 20. Douglas Oliveira 21. Jhonny Lucas 80. Jordan (G) 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 16. Roberto Rosa 18. Thomaz
Coaches
Fernandes M.
Franco B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Guilherme Pira 🟨,
53', Matheus Nogueira 🟨,
57', Biel Fonseca ↓, Thomaz ↑,
62', Leo Oliveira ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
70', Lucas Candido 🟨,
74', 🟨,
84', Jonas Toro ↓, Miguel ↑,
85', Bruno Lopes ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
85', Olavio ↓, Adrianinho ↑,
85', Diego Mathias ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Elvis ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Jeh ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
90+2', Elvis ↓, Edson Rogerio ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.
Ponte Preta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Brusque has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Brusque may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brusque has had a series of home games.
In this match, Ponte Preta is a strong favorite.
We predict that Ponte Preta will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).