Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation - Final

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Bucheon		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.38	Watch
	3.15	2.98	2.3
	3.24	3.06	2.48
	3.13	2.99	2.44	Watch
	3	2.88	2.5
	3.31	3.1	2.39	Watch
	3.14	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.97)	2.98 ↓ (3.22)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
29.9%

Draw
31.3%

Suwon
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	52.9%	35.3%

Bucheon - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Suwon will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucheon (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Suwon (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 27. Jang Si-Young 23. Takahashi K. 16. Park Hyun-Bin 7. Thiaguinho Santos 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 11. Park Chang-Jun	23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 72. Lee S. 4. Kim Tae-Han 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 13. Hwang In-Taek 18. Han Chan-Hee 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 7. Lee Jae-Won (C) 15. Andrigo 9. Sabbag P. 44. Willyan
Substitutes
4. Choe Won-Cheol 14. Choi Jae-Young 41. Galego 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 17. Kim Kyu-Min 5. Lee S. 9. Montano J.	94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 22. Jang Young-Woo 79. Kim Gyeong-Min 97. Luan Dias 14. Yoon Bit-Garam
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Lee Jae-Won 🟨,
28', Han Chan-Hee 🟨,
40', Park Hyun-Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roh Kyung-Ho ↓, Luan Dias ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Bassani ⚽,
49', Takahashi K. 🟨,
64', Lee Eui-Hyeong ↓, Montano J. ↑,
64', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Galego ↑,
64', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Kim Kyu-Min ↑,
67', Andrigo ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
67', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
70', Hwang In-Taek ↓, Jang Young-Woo ↑,
70', Sabbag P. ↓, Kim Gyeong-Min ↑,
73', Park Hyun-Bin ↓, Choi Jae-Young ↑,
89', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Lee S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 4.

Bucheon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suwon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Bucheon - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.04%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
30.11.25	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Bucheon - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Bucheon - Ansan Greeners	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cheongju - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWWT
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Suwon - Gwangju	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Anyang - Suwon	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Suwon - Daegu	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Suwon - Jeju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
27.04.22	Bucheon - Suwon	1:0
South Korean K-League 2
14.09.20	Suwon - Bucheon	1:0
09.08.20	Bucheon - Suwon	2:0
31.05.20	Suwon - Bucheon	1:2
09.11.19	Suwon - Bucheon	1:2
15.09.19	Bucheon - Suwon	1:1
08.07.19	Suwon - Bucheon	0:3

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