Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
World	Onefootball


	Ulsan HD		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2	3.9	3.3	Watch
				Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.2
	2.08	3.97	3.31
	1.90	3.99	3.26	Watch
	1.98	3.78	3.36	Watch
	1.93	3.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	3.84 ↓ (3.99)	3.3 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
47.3%

Draw
24.3%

Suwon
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

23.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

23%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

The chances for Suwon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ulsan HD - Suwon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Suwon (1.79) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 40%). Suwon (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 24. Yoon Jong-Gyu 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 10. Lee D. 5. Jung Woo-Young 72. Baek In-Woo 30. Yoon Jae-Seok 18. Heo Yool 17. Ludwigson G.	23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 2. Lee Yong (C) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 72. Lee S. 94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 18. Han Chan-Hee 97. Luan Dias 7. Lee Jae-Won 79. Kim Gyeong-Min 9. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
36. Lacava M. 27. Lee Chung-Yong 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 9. Marcao 23. Moon Jung-In (G) 26. Park Min-Seo 4. Seo Myung-Guan 66. Trojak M. 11. Um Won-Sang	15. Andrigo 13. Hwang In-Taek 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 4. Kim Tae-Han 20. Lee Ji-Sol 11. Lee Joon-Suk 8. Roh Kyung-Ho 44. Willyan 14. Yoon Bit-Garam
Coaches
Roh S.	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Yoon Jae-Seok ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
16', Baek In-Woo ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
28', Jung Woo-Young 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Ludwigson G. ⚽, Lee Chung-Yong (A),
56', Lee Yong 🟨,
59', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Willyan ↑,
65', Cho Hyun-Taek ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
65', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
78', Kim Gyeong-Min ↓, Andrigo ↑,
78', Lee Yong ↓, Hwang In-Taek ↑,
78', Yoon Jong-Gyu ↓, Seo Myung-Guan ↑,
78', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
82', Luan Dias 🟨,
90+6', Sabbag P. 🟨,
90+9', Heo Yool 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ulsan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:26. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2.2:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.57%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWW
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
02.11.25	Suwon - Daegu	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Suwon - Jeju	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Jeju - Suwon	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
16.08.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	4:2
02.08.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	2:3
16.03.25	Suwon - Ulsan HD	1:1
23.11.24	Ulsan HD - Suwon	4:2
18.08.24	Ulsan HD - Suwon	1:2
05.07.24	Suwon - Ulsan HD	1:1
06.04.24	Ulsan HD - Suwon	3:0

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