Match Info

K League 1 - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Suwon		Jeju

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.75	3.8
	1.86	4	3.88
	1.83	3.82	3.62	Watch
				Watch
	1.8	3.92	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	3.86 ↑ (3.82)	3.88 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
51.9%

Draw
24.1%

Jeju
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.3%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Suwon - Jeju Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Suwon will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 18. Han Chan-Hee 97. Luan Dias 4. Kim Tae-Han 40. Kim Do-Yoon 79. Kyeong-min K. 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 72. Lee S. 7. Lee Jae-Won (C) 20. Lee Ji-Sol 9. Sabbag P.	21. An Chan-Gi (G) 9. Yuri Tanque 40. Kim Ryun-Seong 37. Kwon Sun-ho 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 26. Lim Chai-Min 10. Nam Tae-Hee 18. Oh Jae-Hyeok 23. Rim Chang-Woo 4. Song Ju-Hun 17. Yu In-Soo
Substitutes
94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 30. Choi Chi-Ung 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 13. Hwang In-Taek 16. Jo Joon-Hyeon 19. Jung Seung-Bae 2. Lee Yong 14. Yoon Bit-Garam	22. An Tae-Hyun 24. Choi Byung-wook 3. Jang M. 13. Jeong Woon 2. Kim Jae-Woo 6. Kim Jung-Min 19. Shin Sang-Eun 7. Tiago Alves
Coaches
Kim Eun-joong	Kim J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Yuri Tanque ⚽, Oh Jae-Hyeok (A),
32', Yuri Tanque 🟨,
32', Kim Tae-Han 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Sabbag P. ⚽, Kim Tae-Han (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kwon Sun-ho ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
46', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Jo Joon-Hyeon ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Yuri Tanque (Pen),
64', Kyeong-min K. ↓, Ahn Hyun-Beom ↑,
65', Oh Jae-Hyeok ↓, Jang M. ↑,
65', Rim Chang-Woo ↓, An Tae-Hyun ↑,
73', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
82', Yuri Tanque ↓, Shin Sang-Eun ↑,
85', Jo Joon-Hyeon ↓, Choi Chi-Ung ↑,
85', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
90+5', Choi Byung-wook 🟥,
90+5', Hwang Jae-yun ↓, Ahn Jun-Su ↑,
90+10', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Kim Jae-Woo ↑,
90+12', Lee S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2.

Suwon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jeju is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Suwon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Suwon	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Suwon - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Jeju - Suwon	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWL
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Jeju - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Jeju - Suwon	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
28.09.25	Jeju - Suwon	3:4
27.05.25	Suwon - Jeju	0:1
30.03.25	Jeju - Suwon	1:0
25.08.24	Suwon - Jeju	5:0
26.05.24	Jeju - Suwon	1:0
20.04.24	Suwon - Jeju	2:1
02.12.23	Suwon - Jeju	1:1

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