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Current Win Probability
Etincelles 21.1%
Draw 30%
Police 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
32.5%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
32.1%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Etincelles - Police Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 2.
Etincelles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Police is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Police might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.7:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Etincelles - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 23.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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