Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)


	Bul		Mbarara City

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	7.1
	1.38	4.06	7.4
	1.4	4.03	7.72	Watch
	1.36	3.7	8
	1.45	3.98	7.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)	7.47 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bul
64.7%

Draw
23.2%

Mbarara City
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Bul - Mbarara City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bul won 0.

Bul is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mbarara City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bul is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bul won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Bul won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BUL	4	4	0	0	11:3	8	12
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BIDCO Bul FC
Ugandan Super League
10.03.26	Buhimba United Saints - Bul	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Bul - Calvary	5:1 ✺
03.03.26	Police - Bul	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Kampala City Council - Bul	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Bul - Vipers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLT
- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
10.03.26	Mbarara City - Kitara	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mbarara City - Vipers	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Entebbe UPPC - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Mbarara City - Calvary	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
17.10.25	Mbarara City - Bul	1:1
29.03.25	Mbarara City - Bul	0:0
02.10.24	Bul - Mbarara City	0:2
06.01.24	Bul - Mbarara City	1:1
28.03.22	Mbarara City - Bul	1:1
02.11.21	Bul - Mbarara City	1:0
08.05.21	Bul - Mbarara City	1:1

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