Match Info
Premier League - Round 18Date: 4 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)
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Uganda Revenue Authority SC |
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Mbarara City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.45 |
6.7 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.86 |
6.61 |
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1.45 |
3.75 |
7.29 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
3 |
6 |
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 |
1.58 |
3.24 |
6.27 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.5) |
3.46 ↓
(3.6) |
6.57 ↓
(6.89) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Uganda Revenue Authority SC
59.9% | Draw
26.3% | Mbarara City
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uganda Revenue Authority SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uganda Revenue Authority SC than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Otti R. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, Ndondhi M. W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URA SC won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.URA SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, URA SC is the undeniable favorite.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, URA SC won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, URA SC won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 14 | URA SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
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| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 17.12.25 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 1:0 | | 04.04.25 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:2 | | 28.09.24 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 1:1 | | 07.05.24 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:0 | | 29.12.23 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 3:0 | | 03.03.22 | Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC | 0:0 | | 22.12.21 | Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Mbarara City | 2:0 |
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