Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Rwamwanja stadium (Nkoma)


	Mbarara City		Calvary

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.55
	1.6	3.44	5.15
	1.67	3.1	4.8
	1.72	3.24	4.75
	1.6	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	4.8 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mbarara City
54.1%

Draw
27.3%

Calvary
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Calvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mbarara City - Calvary Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Kamugisha C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).

Mbarara City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mbarara City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mbarara City is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Mbarara City	4	0	2	2	0:2	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mbarara City FC
Ugandan Super League
31.01.26	Maroons - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Villa - Mbarara City	6:1 ✺
24.01.26	Mbarara City - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Vipers - Mbarara City	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mbarara City - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTLW
- FC Calvary
Ugandan Super League
27.01.26	Calvary - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Police - Calvary	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Calvary - Bul	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Villa - Calvary	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Calvary - Vipers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLLLT

Mbarara City - Calvary: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide