Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Welling United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	2.92
	2.08	3.69	2.88
	2.05	3.91	2.92	Watch
	2.05	3.5	2.88
	2.05	3.58	3
	2.08	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	3.67 ↓ (3.82)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
44.1%

Draw
24.7%

Welling United
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

23%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Lewes - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', Paxman J. 🟥,
90+12', 1 - 0, Bennett K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lewes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lewes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.12.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Lewes - Dartford	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hashtag United - Lewes	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Lewes - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTLL
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Welling United - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Welling United - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
15.11.25	Welling United - Cray Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Welling United - Lewes	0:1

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