Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Burgess Hill Town		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.75	2.22
	2.63	3.63	2.33
	2.54	4.01	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	2.53	3.68	2.24
	2.57	3.8	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.46)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	2.27 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgess Hill Town
35.6%

Draw
24.5%

St Albans City
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Burgess Hill Town - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Petrie K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 12).

In recent matches, Burgess Hill has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St Albans has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St Albans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burgess Hill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	St. Albans	10	6	2	2	21:14	7	20
11	Burgess Hill	13	5	5	3	24:20	4	20

Last Results with these Odds

St Albans City - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Hashtag United - Burgess Hill Town	2:6 ✺
24.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLW
- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	St Albans City - Cray Wanderers	2:3 ✺
27.01.26	Billericay Town - St Albans City	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Lewes - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	St Albans City - Hashtag United	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	St Albans City - Whitehawk	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.25	St Albans City - Burgess Hill Town	3:4

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