Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Lewes		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.85	1.72
	3.87	4.09	1.71
	3.02	4.01	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.51	3.98	1.77
	3.8	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.92)	3.96 ↑ (3.72)	1.77 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
25.5%

Draw
23%

St Albans City
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

24.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

24.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lewes's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Albans City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lewes - St Albans City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Bassett D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Lewes has had a series of away games.

Recently, St Albans has had a series of home games.

St Albans might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lewes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

St. Albans: 4.83% Lewes: 4.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lewes	10	6	1	3	15:11	4	19
10	St. Albans	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Lewes - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.49%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.01.26	Ramsgate - Lewes	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Canvey Island - Lewes	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Burgess Hill Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Lewes - Welling United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Lewes	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW
- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.01.26	St Albans City - Hashtag United	4:1 ✺
17.01.26	St Albans City - Whitehawk	3:5 ✺
10.01.26	St Albans City - Cray Valley Paper Mills	5:0 ✺
27.12.25	St Albans City - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dartford - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.09.25	St Albans City - Lewes	3:0

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