Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday


	Covadonga		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2
	3.6	3	2.05
	3.3	3.05	2.1
	3.5	3.09	2.24
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.4	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.51)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
26.6%

Draw
30.1%

Numancia
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.1%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

19%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Covadonga - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Covadonga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Numancia have a series of home games.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.21	Covadonga - Valladolid B	1:3 ✺
17.01.21	Covadonga - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Langreo - Covadonga	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Leonesa - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.01.21	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón B	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Numancia - Almería	1:2 ✺
16.12.20	Numancia - Lorca Deportiva	4:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.20	Numancia - Langreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLWW

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