Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Leonesa		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.33	6.75
	1.37	4.6	6.6
	1.32	4.9	6.6
	1.33	5.31	9
	1.35	4.4	8
	1.31	5.15	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.78 ↑ (3.97)	7.51 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
68.6%

Draw
19.2%

Covadonga
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.8%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

13.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-31.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covadonga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Covadonga have a series of home games.

In this match Leonesa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.12.20	Langreo - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
29.11.20	Leonesa - Burgos	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Valladolid B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
08.11.20	Leonesa - Real Oviedo B	2:1 ✺
01.11.20	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTWL
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.20	Covadonga - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
29.11.20	Covadonga - Sporting de Gijón B	2:0 ✺
14.11.20	Valladolid B - Covadonga	3:2 ✺
08.11.20	Covadonga - Burgos	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Covadonga - Real Oviedo B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.18	Leonesa - Covadonga	4:0

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