Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Burgos Promesas		Deportivo A Coruña B

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.65	1.6
	5.16	3.7	1.63
	4.92	3.91	1.59	Watch
	5	3.4	1.62
	4.94	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.93 ↑ (4.72)	3.68 ↑ (3.58)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
18.6%

Draw
24.9%

Deportivo A Coruña B
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

25.4%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.4%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Deportivo A Coruña B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Burgos Promesas aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Burgos Promesas - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Ribas I. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Rodrigues D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 3, Dominguez D. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 4, Mane A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Burgos Promesas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo B is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	4:4 ✺
15.03.26	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTTWL
- Deportivo A Coruña B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Atlético Astorga	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Bergantiños - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Burgos Promesas	3:0

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