Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	UD Ourense		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.98	3.1
	2.25	2.87	3.39	Watch
	2.21	3.15	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.22)	3 ↑ (2.89)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
41.4%

Draw
30.6%

Rayo Cantabria
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

UD Ourense - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Sanchez C. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Nunez M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 3, Mascaro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 3 - 3, Zayzoun Y. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

UD Ourense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, UD Ourense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.26	Numancia - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	UD Ourense - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	UD Ourense - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Valladolid B - UD Ourense	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Real Ávila - UD Ourense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTTWW
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.02.26	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
08.02.26	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	7:0 ✺
01.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1

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