Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 2
World	Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 2 Baltic


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.24	6.1	9	Watch
	1.24	6.89	8.9
	1.19	6.98	10.83	Watch
	1.27	6.14	10.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	6.53 ↑ (5.39)	9.76 ↑ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Draw
14.4%

Shanghai Port
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

17.4%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

16.6%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanfrecce Hiroshima's performance.

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Shanghai Port (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Hiroshima (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 4 - 80%). Shanghai Port (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. 33. Shiotani T. 24. Higashi S. 6. Kawabe H. (C) 14. Tanaka S. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 41. Maeda N. 17. Kinoshita K. 10. Marcos Junior	12. Chen Wei (G) 4. Wang Shenchao (C) 13. Wei Zhen 40. Yusup Umidjan 23. Fu Huan 29. Jojo A. C. 47. Kuai Jiwen 22. Matheus Jussa 10. Mateus Vital 21. Melendo O. 9. Gustavo
Substitutes
13. Arai N. 30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 98. Germain V. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 51. Kato M. 32. Koshimichi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 19. Sasaki S. 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.	25. Du Jia (G) 27. Feng Jing 30. Gabrielzinho 36. Haliq Ablahan 45. Leonardo 14. Li Shenglong 26. Liu Ruofan 49. Li X. 11. Lu Wenjun 15. Ming Tian 20. Yang Shiyuan 1. Yan Junling (G)
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Shiotani T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Araki H. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marcos Junior ↓, Kato M. ↑,
55', Kim Ju-Sung 🟨,
64', Kuai Jiwen ↓, Leonardo ↑,
64', Fu Huan ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
65', Maeda N. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
65', Kinoshita K. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
73', Matheus Jussa ↓, Yang Shiyuan ↑,
73', Melendo O. ↓, Gabrielzinho ↑,
77', Jojo A. C. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Gabrielzinho ⚽, Wei Zhen (A),
87', Kawabe H. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
87', Higashi S. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
90', Gustavo 🟥,

Preview

Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shanghai Port has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hiroshima is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
12.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
07.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
26.09.25	Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.09.25	Shanghai Port - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Chinese Super League
12.09.25	Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL

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