Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Burnley		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.20	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.30
	3.00	3.45	2.23	Watch
	3.11	3.60	2.34
	3.17	3.55	2.19	Watch
	3.10	3.55	2.25
	3.26	3.61	2.24	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.83)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
31%

Draw
26.9%

West Ham United
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Burnley - West Ham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). West Ham will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. West Ham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiss M. (G) 22. Sonne O. 3. Alleyne M. 2. Walker K. (C) 6. Humphreys B. 8. Raghouber U. 28. Mejbri H. 10. Edwards M. 21. Ramsey A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 30. Scarles O. 20. Bowen J. (C) 61. Orford L. 10. Solomon M. 17. Kante M. 19. Pablo 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
11. Amdouni Z. 13. Amos B. (G) 27. Broja A. 17. Hountondji A. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 20. Sambo S. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 4. Worrall J.	66. Ajala J. 23. Areola A. (G) 12. Diouf M. 40. Earthy G. 58. Golambeckis A. 48. Landers J. 63. Mayers E. 34. Veltman J. 8. Ward-Prowse J.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Kilman M. ⚽, Bowen J. (A),
33', Kante M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Pablo ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
57', Raghouber U. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
57', Mejbri H. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
67', Castellanos T. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Solomon M. ⚽,
76', Ramsey A. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
76', Humphreys B. ↓, Lucas Pires ↑,
82', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Flemming Z. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Hermansen M. 🟨,
84', Flemming Z. 🟨,
87', Scarles O. ↓, Diouf M. ↑,
89', Solomon M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Alleyne M. (A),
90+5', Diouf M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.

Burnley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

West Ham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, West Ham has had a series of away games.

West Ham could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in West Ham: Soucek T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Kante M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Ham: 13.77% Burnley: 2.12%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	West Ham	8	4	3	1	22:11	11	15
24	Burnley	8	0	4	4	9:17	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Burnley - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

West Ham United - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Cup
08.08.26	Burnley - Notts County	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Burnley - Torino	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Burnley - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Ajax - Burnley	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Real Salt Lake - Burnley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTLL
- West Ham United
English League Cup
08.08.26	West Ham United - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Magdeburg - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Glasgow Rangers - West Ham United	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Stevenage Borough - West Ham United	0:5 ✺
18.07.26	Southend United - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
07.02.26	Burnley - West Ham United	0:2
08.11.25	West Ham United - Burnley	3:2
10.03.24	West Ham United - Burnley	2:2
25.11.23	Burnley - West Ham United	1:2
17.04.22	West Ham United - Burnley	1:1
12.12.21	Burnley - West Ham United	0:0
03.05.21	Burnley - West Ham United	1:2

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