Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Burnley		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4.4	6.25
	1.47	4.44	6.87	Watch
	1.47	4.67	6.88
	1.49	4.46	6.54	Watch
	1.5	4.2	7.5
	1.48	4.4	6.71	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)	4.4 ↑ (4.34)	6.79 ↑ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
64.4%

Draw
21.6%

Portsmouth
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

21.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Burnley - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trafford J. (G) 6. Egan-Riley C. 4. Worrall J. 5. Esteve M. 23. Lucas Pires 24. Cullen J. 8. Brownhill J. 30. Koleosho L. 28. Mejbri H. 11. Anthony J. 17. Foster L.	1. Norris W. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 16. McIntyre T. 3. Ogilvie C. 7. Pack M. (C) 8. Potts F. 32. Lane P. 49. Lang C. 23. Murphy J. 15. Saydee C.
Substitutes
16. Egan J. 19. Flemming Z. 32. Hladky V. (G) 37. Hountondji A. 29. Laurent J. 42. Massengo H. 9. Rodriguez J. 3. Sambo S. 7. Sarmiento J.	29. Blair H. 21. Dozzell A. 25. Kamara A. 30. Ritchie M. 13. Schmid N. (G) 20. Silvera S. 18. Sorensen E. 4. Towler R. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
Parker S.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Recent matches Burnley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portsmouth is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Portsmouth have a series of home games.

In this match Burnley is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Delcroix H. (Muscle Injury) Ekdal H. (Muscle Injury) Humphreys B. (Red Card) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Redmond N. (Muscle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J. (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
English League Championship
14.09.24	Leeds United - Burnley	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Burnley - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Burnley	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Sunderland - Burnley	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Burnley - Cardiff City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLLW
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
15.09.24	Portsmouth - West Bromwich Albion	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Portsmouth - Sunderland	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Middlesbrough - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Portsmouth - Luton Town	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Portsmouth - Millwall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.03.12	Portsmouth - Burnley	1:5

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