Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Como TV
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Burnley		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8	Watch
	1.46	4.50	6.75
	1.37	4.45	7.9	Watch
	1.35	5.24	9.47
	1.4	4.71	7.34
	1.29	5.2	9.45
	1.37	4.55	8.51	Watch
	1.39	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.57)	4.79 ↑ (4)	8.25 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burnley
68.9%

Draw
19.7%

Notts County
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burnley's performance.

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

Burnley - Notts County Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Burnley will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Walker K. (C) 4. Worrall J. 6. Humphreys B. 22. Sonne O. 8. Raghouber U. 28. Mejbri H. 10. Edwards M. 21. Ramsey A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 19. Flemming Z.	1. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Gibbons J. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 16. Campbell D. 15. Evans J. 14. Lipsiuc D. 8. Cooper O. 7. Roberts C. 39. Ndlovu L.
Substitutes
25. Amdouni Z. 13. Amos B. (G) 17. Castell L. 18. Ekdal H. 37. Hountondji A. 29. Laurent J. 23. Lucas Pires 14. Roberts C. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M.	33. Acquah E. 44. Baker M. 23. Browne L. 11. Grant C. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 51. Muir K. 30. Reynolds R. 19. Smyth L.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Gibbons J. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
66', Ndlovu L. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
66', Cooper O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
67', Raghouber U. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
67', Ramsey A. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
67', Sonne O. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
73', Lipsiuc D. 🟨,
80', Roberts C. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
80', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
81', Edwards M. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
90', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Castell L. ↑,
90+2', Evans J. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Acquah E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Flemming Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Campbell D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Amdouni Z. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Grant C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Evans J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mejbri H. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bedeau J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Walker K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Burnley has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Notts County has had a series of away games.

In this match, Burnley is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burnley FC
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Burnley - Torino	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Burnley - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Ajax - Burnley	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Real Salt Lake - Burnley	4:1 ✺
10.07.26	Cincinnati - Burnley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Notts County
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Walsall - Notts County	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Notts County - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Randers FC - Notts County	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	Viborg - Notts County	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Alfreton Town - Notts County	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLW

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